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Bow Tie Analysis

Bow Tie Analysis is a simple method to identify where new or enhanced controls may be worthwhile. It is a vital part of risk treatment planning, especially where there is a high level of risk or where control effectiveness is evaluated as low.

A bow tie diagram provides a visual representation of all credible accident scenarios that could exist around a certain hazard. It links threats and consequences to an event that are controlled by various prevention as well as recovery measures (barriers).

A bow tie is a graphical description of pathways from the causes of a risk or an event to its consequences in a simple qualitative cause-consequence diagram. It is a simplified mixture of a fault tree that evaluates the cause of a risk or an event, the left-hand side of the diagram, and an event tree that evaluates the consequences, the right-hand side.

The focal point of bow tie analysis is on the barriers or controls described to the left-hand side of the knot that can change the likelihood of the circumstance or event, or on those on the right-hand side that can change its consequences.

Benefits of Bow Tie Analysis:
  • Highly productive for initial Process Hazard Analysis.
  • Assures identification of high probability-high consequence events.
  • Amalgamated application of a high-level fault/event trees.
  • Representation of the causes of a hazardous scenario event, likely outcomes, and the measures in place to avoid, reduce, or control hazards.
  • Existing safeguards (barriers) are identified and assessed.
  • Usual cause scenarios are recognized and described on the pre-event side (left side) of the bow-tie diagram.
  • Credible consequences and scenario outcomes are described on the post-event side (right side) of the diagram.
  • Associated barrier safeguards are involved.
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